UFC Fight Night 85 is live on FS1 this Saturday from Brisbane, Australia. The six fight main card is headlined by Mark Hunt taking on former UFC Heavyweight Champion Frank Mir. In the co-main event Hector Lombard faces Neil Magny in a battle of welterweights as both fighters look to take another step closer to a title fight. The remaining four fights are Lightweights Jake Matthews vs. Johnny Case, Middleweights Daniel Kelly vs. Antonio Carlos Junior, Middleweights James Te Huna vs. Steve Bosse and Strawweights Bec Rawlings vs. Seohee Ham
The main event is essentially an elimination match between Heavyweights Frank Mir and Mark Hunt. The winner goes on to make possibly one last title run, while the loser drops out of the top ten with little hope of getting themselves back in the hunt. Frank Mir fought three times in 2015, his one loss was by decision against Andrei Arlovski at UFC 191. Mark Hunt’s last fight was a victory over Antonio “Big Foot” Silva at UFC 193.
Hunt’s game plan will be simple, keep the fight standing where he can utilize his biggest advantage, his striking. Mir’s striking skills have improved and he does have knockout power, as he displayed in his fight against Todd Duffee. Although Mir’s striking skills have improved, they still aren't up to Hunt’s ability. Mark Hunt needs to keep distance, be able to get away and defend the takedown in order to have success. If Hunt is successful in keeping the fight standing and with his one punch knockout power, he’ll win by TKO.
Mir will undoubtedly want to take the fight to the ground where he can work in for a submission. While Hunt’s wrestling skills have been better of late, as evidenced in his fight against Werdum, Mir’s aggressive style should allow him to take Hunt to the ground. Once on the ground Mir will look to end the fight using one of his many submission options. Although Hunt’s get-up skills are underrated, he hasn’t gone up against a fighter with Mir’s skills. Should Hunt find himself on the mat for an extended period of time Mir will end it.
In the co-main event Hector Lombard returns after only have fought once in the past three years due to suspension. His last fight was a win over Josh Burkman in January of 2015. Neil Magny is 2-1 in his last three fights losing to Demien Maia, then going on to defeat Erick Silva and Kelvin Gastelum.
This is a tough fight to predict. How will the long layoff after testing positive for PED’s affect Lombard? If Lombard can come into the fight and show no signs of ring rust I see him taking the fight by TKO. That's a big “if” especially if his age catches up to him. Neil Magny has to be able to weather the storm early as I think Lombard will come out strong. The longer the fight goes on, the better chance Magny has of getting a win by decision.
Mark Hunt (11-10-1) vs. Frank Mir (18-10). Current Line: Hunt -160, Mir +130. Pick: Mir by submission
Neil Magny (17-4) Bo's. Hector Lombard (35-4-1). Current Line: Magny -130, Lombard +110. Pick: Lombard by decision
Jake Matthews (10-1) vs. Johnny Case (22-4). Current Line: Case -130, Matthews +110. Pick: Matthews by decision
Daniel Kelly (10-1) vs. Antonio Carlos Junior (6-1). Current Line: Carlos Jr -525, Kelly +375. Pick: Carlos Jr by submission
James Te Huna (18-8) vs. Steve Bosse (10-1). Current Line: Te Huna -255, Bosse +205. Pick: Te Huna by TKO
Bec Rawlings (6-4) vs. Seohee Ham (16-6). Current Line: Ham -125, Rawlings +105. Pick: Ham by decision
Enjoy the fights!
The Fighting Champion
Blogging about mixed martial arts, sports betting and providing winning sports picks.