UFC Fight Night 104 is live on Saturday night from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The main event features Dennis Bermudez as he looks to continue his climb up the featherweight ladder. He takes on the “Korean Zombie” Chan Sung Jung who will be making his return to the cage after a three and a half year absence. The co-main event takes us to the women’s strawweight division as rising star Alexa Grasso takes on veteran Felice Herrig.
The six-fight main card rounds out with Abel Trujillo taking on Jams Vick in the lightweight division, Ovince Saint Preux taking on Volkan Oezdemir in a battle of light heavyweights, Anthony Hamilton vs. Marcel Fortuna and back to the women’s strawweight division for Jessica Andrande vs. Angela Hill.
The early prelims will air on Fight Pass starting at 6 PM CT, with Fox Sports 1 taking over at 7 PM CT for the prelims. Keep it on FS1 for the main card starting at 9 PM CT.
Dennis Bermudez (17-5) vs. Chan Sung Jung (13-4) – Featherweight 145 lbs.
Current Odds: Bermudez -200; Jung +160
After dropping two in a row against Ricardo Lamas and Jeremy Stephens, Bermudez has won his last two fights. Both wins were by decision, first against Tatsuya Kawajiri and most recently against Rony Mariano Bezerra. I expect Bermudez to keep the fight on the feet in an effort to stay away from Jung’s superior submission game. The only problem with that game plan is Bermudez’s suspect chin. He gets dropped rather easily so that is a bit of a concern. I do like his cardio and think the longer the fight lasts, the better Bermudez’s chances are of getting his hand raised.
The last time the Korean Zombie was inside the cage it was against Jose Aldo at UFC 163 back in June of 2013. In the fourth round of the fight Jung injured his shoulder to which Aldo capitalized on by attacking, thus winning by TKO. Three and a half years later, Jung is back and looking to get back in the hunt in the featherweight division. Look for Jung to try and take the fight to the ground. Eight of his thirteen wins are by submission. Ironically, four of Bermudez’s five career losses are by submission.
The question here comes down to how will Jung look after such a long layoff? At +160 there is value in backing him here. While my official pick to win the fight might be Bermudz, it’s not one of confidence. In fact, I won’t be a bit surprised if the Korean Zombie looks like the same fighter he did prior to the shoulder injury.
Pick: Bermudez by decision
Alexa Grasso (9-0) vs. Felice Herrig (11-6) – Strawweight 115 lbs.
Current Odds: Grasso -315; Herrig +255
MMA veteran Felice Herrig has been in Bellator, Invicta FC and the UFC and has fought some of the toughest in women’s MMA. She is 3-3 over her last six fights, alternating wins and losses. Her most recent fight came at UFC on FOX 20 where she tapped Kailin Curran by rear naked choke in the first round. Herrig has looked better in her recent fights and I expect her to give Grasso a tough fight. While she doesn’t have Alexa’s striking skills, she is an above average grappler. In order for Herrig to win this fight I think she has to be able to pressure early, take Grasso down and work her submission game. The key for Herrig is she needs to get going early. She doesn’t have the best cardio so the longer the fight goes on, the smaller her window of opportunity becomes.
After going 4-0 in Invicta FC, Alexa Grasso debuted in the UFC at UFC Fight Night 98 where she took a decision against Heather Clark. The UFC is starting to put their weight behind showcasing her and it’s every bit deserved. Keep in mind she’s only 23 years old so she is still learning the finer points of her craft. We’ve yet to see her ground game due to her strength being in stand-up. Grasso is a very sound, technical striker. If there is one negative to her striking it’s her lack of power, but if she is successful in stuffing Herrig’s takedown attempts she should be able to cruise to a decision.
Abel Trujillo (15-5, 1 NC) vs. James Vick (9-1) – Lightweight 155 lbs.
Current Odds: Vick -120; Trujillo -110
This will be a fun fight. James Vick was on quite a roll until Beneil Dariush knocked him out in the first round at UFC 199. Vick has above average boxing and with his height and reach it usually gives him the advantage over his opponents. He also has a solid ground game and works in submissions well. Vick’s boxing skills will be put to the test here. He has to be able to utilize his jab in an effort to maintain distance. Vick also has the advantage in cardio so the chances of him outworking Trujillo in the latter rounds and taking a decision is there.
Abel Trujillo comes into the fight on a three-fight win streak. His most recent win was a decision over Jordan Rinaldi at UFC Fight Night 88. Over his last ten fights Trujillo is 8-2 with the two losses coming against Tony Ferguson at UFC 181 and Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 160. Trujillo is a good striker with ridiculous power. He likes to use his strength to force his way inside where he can do serious damage. If he has success closing distance and doesn’t get too reckless I think he gets the knockout.
I like the rounds total under in this one.
Pick: Trujillo by TKO
Ovince Saint Preux (19-9) vs. Volkan Oezdemir (12-1) – Light Heavyweight 205 lbs.
Current Odds: Saint Preux -320; Oezdemir +250
OSP has lost three out of his last four fights. He is 0-2 coming into the fight, dropping a decision to Jon Jones at UFC 197 and then getting knocked out by Jimi Manuwa at UFC 204. Although his record of late isn’t the best, he has fought the very best the division has to offer. This is a big fight for Ovince. He needs this win in order to stay in the hunt at light heavyweight. OSP is the better athlete with more ways to win the fight. I think he’ll take advantage of his opponent’s lack of movement and defense. He gets back on track with a win on Saturday night.
Volkan Oezdemir makes his UFC debut on Saturday night. Of his thirteen career fights, only two have gone the distance. Of his twelve career wins, ten were stoppages. Of those ten, nine are by knockout. Impressive numbers. But, he has yet to face anyone close to Saint Preux’s skill level. This will be by far Oezdemir’s toughest fight. Oezdemir is a striker with heavy hands, but that’s about it. A fighter with the power of Oezdemir is always dangerous. All it takes is one well-placed strike and the fight can be over that fast.
I like the rounds total under in this one.
Pick: Saint Preux by submission
Anthony Hamilton (15-6) vs. Marcel Fortuna (8-1) – Heavyweight 265 lbs.
Current Odds: Hamilton -185; Fortuna +155
Marcel Fortuna makes his UFC debut when he takes on Anthony Hamilton. Five of his career wins have come by either knockout or submission. Fortuna will be giving up a lot of weight since he is a natural 205’er. I think he will want to avoid getting into a slug fest since he’s giving up four inches in reach. The problem is if he takes the fight to the ground, Hamilton is more than comfortable on the mat.
Anthony Hamilton has alternated wins and losses over his last seven fights. His last fight came at UFC Fight Night 102 where he was tapped by Francis Ngannou. So this means he should win this one, right? Hamilton should be able to score with takedowns and be able to control Fortuna on the ground. I think between his superior wrestling and size advantage he’ll wear Fortuna down and get the finish late in the fight.
Pick: Hamilton by TKO
Jessica Andrade (15-5) vs. Angela Hill (2-2) – Strawweight 115 lbs.
Current Odds: Andrade -525; Hill +385
After going 1-3 in the UFC, Angela Hill went to Invicta FC and rattled off four straight wins. She returns on Saturday night to take on Jessica Andrade. The winner of this fight has a strong argument that they should be next in line for a title fight. Hill has looked great since she went to Invicta FC. She’s worked on her defense, she maintains distance and works from the outside much better as well. The problem for Angela is she doesn’t possess a ton of power so in order for her to win this fight she’s going to have to outwork Jessica which I just don’t see happening.
After getting subbed by Raquel Pennington at UFC 191, Andrade dropped down to 115 and has won her last two fights. She beat Jessica Penne by TKO at UFC 199 and tapped Joanne Calderwood at UFC 203. Andrade is super aggressive and likes to pressure her opponents. She also has serious power and is excellent at controlling opponents.
This should be an exciting fight. Both fighters will come out aggressively and look to finish the other. Andrade is the better all-around fighter and has looked great since dropping down to strawweight.
Pick: Andrade by decision
Prelims Quick Look
Blaydes over Milstead
Skelly over Gruetzemacher
Tanaka over Ramos
Torres over Rawlings
Morono over Price
Roundtree over Jolly
Enjoy the fights!
The Fighting Champion
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